There is a lot of speculation online among the blogs and news media, but as Jeff's favorite blog fivethirtyeight.com reports, no one knows nothing.
Regardless, in politics, it's always fun to speculate. Who's it going to be?
Joe Biden? Evan Bayh? Kathleen Sebelius? Joe Biden? Bill Richardson? Wes Clark? Tim Kaine? Mark Warner? Hillary Clinton? Colin Powell?
A snippet from fivethirtyeight.com
Either they're playing it straight-up -- meaining Biden, Bayh, Kaine, or Sebelius -- or it's some kind of A-lister, someone for whom the elaborate staging of it all doesn't produce an anti-climax. That list is probably limited to Hillary, Gore, Kerry and Colin Powell, though I have real trouble imagining the latter two. Somebody who had officially disqualified themselves -- Mark Warner or Jim Webb -- would presumably also produce a lot of shock value. But I think we need to start discounting some of these second-tier picks that don't have strong brands, like the Jack Reeds and the Chris Dodds.
I'm afraid it'll be either Bayh or Kaine, but in some respects Hillary Clinton is beginning to make the most sense.
ReplyDelete