Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Is Mississippi the firewall against 60?

The more this coming election comes into focus, the more it looks like a complete Democratic landslide up and down the ballot. Besides winning the White House, building a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate is goal number one. Most experts project the Democrats to control between 55 and 57 Senate seats, up from 50, not counting Darth Lieberman. In the last few weeks things have become more dire for the GOP. Even old hands like Elizabeth Dole, Mitch McConnell, Gordon Smith and John Sununu are in trouble. Today the RNC pulled money from the McCain race to spend in the Senate battleground where they are in grave danger of getting annihilated.

From the Politico:

The Republican National Committee, growing nervous over the prospect of Democrats’ winning a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate, is considering tapping into a $5 million line of credit this week to aid an increasing number of vulnerable incumbents, top Republicans say.

With party strategists fearing a bloodbath at the polls, GOP officials are shifting to triage mode, determining who can be saved and where to best spend their money.

Democrats are looking at picking up these states for sure:
Viriginia (Warner)
Colorado (Udall)
New Mexico (Udall)
Oregon (Merkley)

These look like good bets:
New Hampshire (Shaheen)
Minnesota (Franken)
North Carolina (Hagan)
Alaska (Begich)

These are right there:
Kentucky (Lunsford)
Georgia (Martin)
Mississippi (Musgrove)

With the RNC now officially playing defense, I would expect an influx of money here in Mississippi. Mississippi stands as the last ditch to defend before the haggard GOP retreats to a filibuster-proof minority. We may see even more advertising than we have already seen. I know I received two different Roger Wicker mailers today.

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