I took a closer look at the pollster data. It looks like McCain is still favored by 7 points, which is down from his previous high. Most likely, his peak potential is around 54%, which is quite lower than what Bush earned in MS in '00 and '04. Incredibly strong black turnout and conservative disillusionment could tip the balance to Obama, but if I'm a betting man, I still have to pick McCain to win here.
FYI: I changed my blog title to kingpolitics.com. It's no longer blackpoliticalanalysis.com
I took a closer look at the pollster data. It looks like McCain is still favored by 7 points, which is down from his previous high. Most likely, his peak potential is around 54%, which is quite lower than what Bush earned in MS in '00 and '04. Incredibly strong black turnout and conservative disillusionment could tip the balance to Obama, but if I'm a betting man, I still have to pick McCain to win here.
ReplyDeleteFYI: I changed my blog title to kingpolitics.com. It's no longer blackpoliticalanalysis.com
Osodom/Obamanation
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