After cooling off for the majority of the day, I have to come to several points in my thoughts about last night's huge win by Travis Childers in MS-01. Well actually I hard to work so hard I never got to sit down in front of my computer, but at least I unplugged and let my ideas percolate.
1. Our number one biggest job heading to November is to register voters. We need to have voter registration drives in every county. This is crucial in building our new majority.
2. The race-baiting, scary liberal, the other guy is Satan bit came up dry this time, thank God. People are starting to figure out this small government, no health care, endless war, tax cuts for the wealthy style of government is not in their best interest.
3. With that said, yes the geography worked in our favor this time. But the Republicans are stuck with Greg Davis for November. That means it will be 2010 before they can ditch Davis and come back the eastern part of the state to counter Childers. By then Travis will have the all-powerful role of incumbency. As long as we, as in Democrats, don't drop the ball like the Republicans did, we will be fine.
4. Barack Obama can make Mississippi competitive in November. He likely won't win, but I bet the GOP and it minions drop way more cash here than they would prefer. This will be repeated all over the South. Obama will win at least 2 states in Dixie, probably 3.
5. Ronnie Musgrove can win. I would put it at 50-50, except for his fundraising disadvantage. I have started a fundraising page for Ronnie that you will see plenty of soon. I would think the DSCC will take note of what happened to their friends at the DCCC, when the DCCC rolled a little money behind a solid Mississippi Democrat and came up a winner.
6. Dear Republicans:
Updated: Post of year by James at Swing State Project.
I'd like to be the first one to address this and point out a few faults that you seem to have overlooked.
ReplyDelete1) I just hope those voters you register are qualified electors, not felons, not illegal aliens, and certainly no deceased.
2) People are starting to figure out this small government, no health care, endless war, tax cuts for the wealthy style of government is not in their best interest.
I can't figure out how you say we have had smaller government under Bush. He spends money like Ted Kennedy at a liquor store. Big government spending is why the GOP lost the House and Senate. Everyone in the country has health care, we have the best health care in the world, and it's available to everyone. Health insurance is another issue. Tax cuts usually effect the middle and upper class because they are the only people who pay taxes.
3) You are right the GOP dropped the ball in this one, ran a poor candidate and a poor campaign. I am shocked it was as close as it was. But, it won't take too long for Childers to show his liberal leanings.
4) Obama will get 41% of the vote in MS, plain and simple and McCain will win Dist. 1 by about 20 pts. And he's a poor candidate.
5) If people in MS vote Ronnie "$700 million deficit" Musgrove they deserve what they get. He was the worst governor in MS in the modern era, people do remember that.
As for the Childer's win, enjoy it.
1. whatever
ReplyDelete2. Bush wasted money on defense, corporate welfare for his "base", and homeland security for our newly created disaster capitalism market. That is not what I call "liberal" spending. He tried to privatize everything possibel and stripped regulaions. He let the oil companies right the energy policy, the insurance and pharma industries write our helathcare...
Best Health care? what metric? We have a lower life expectancy than Cuba and about 30 something other countries. I think you meant we pay more for our health care than anyone, that would be the first true thing you have said. 47 million Americans, 16% of the polulation have no insurance!!
3. Good luck taking back this seat once the folks of North Mississippi get to know Travis. Did you see the Prentiss Cpunty returns. I doubt they are all yellow dog Dems.
4. 45% minimum, yes I said it
5. Ronnie did more for this state than Foghorn Leghorn ever has. One term for you MAEP.
I hate to come off as agreeing with boilermaker, but you're way off on your "small government" comment, Jeff. The only 2-term president since Eisenhower to leave the government small than when he found it was Bill Clinton. Nixon, Reagan, and Bush Dos all ballooned and bloated the federal government, with a staggeringly impressive lack of results to show for it. Reagan was the first one to get the bright idea to try and pay for it with tax cuts for the rich (how could that go wrong?).
ReplyDeleteJust because Conservatives say it doesn't mean they believe it and it doesn't make it true.
Hiram, you are not understanding what I am saying. Yes Bush grew the government, but in areas such as defense and homeland security. Meanwhile he stripped money from government infrastructure, see our FEC board with no members, or waht happened during Katrina, the effects of a hollow gov't. The budget grew under Bush, no doubt, but what did it grow on, that is my point. We now have privatized war, torture, all the schools in NOLA, and created a who industry around"homeland security". That is you bloated government, meanwhile programs for infrastructure building and entitlemnts go neglected. And did Bush not run on the traditional GOP matra of small gov't?
ReplyDeleteNo- what I'm saying is that even though the Republicans run continuously on a strategy of "smaller government", they never, ever, ever, ever do it. Sure, the manage to gut helpful social programs while wasting enormous amounts of money on hair-brained schemes (abstinence-only sex-ed, Iraq War, that Medicare bill a few years back).
ReplyDeleteBut they don't make the government smaller. They never have. They just make it less useful, helpful, or efficient. What I was trying to say is don't concede that idea to them- smaller government- because they've never done it.
Not all government reduction is bad. After all, Bill Clinton streamlined the federal government and did a damn good job of it.
I call what the Republicans do "useless government".
I agree, but what they do is privatize gov't. The government has been shrunk considerably, spend has not. You are correct they spend money like drunk indians, but now it goes to private contracts, for their buddies of course. When I scatch off my check to the gov't every February, I have to stop myself from making the check payable to Haliburton.
ReplyDeleteI guess out difference lies in the definiton of gove't. If spending is your only metric than you are correct. I look it at like money being ripped form the state and paid to private companies. The spending is there, but the ownership by the government is not. What happens when you privatize everything and eliminate the regulatory agencies? Our current financial crisis is a great example of the effects of hollowing out of government. When there is no regulation, the rich scumbags take all they can, the rest of us be damned.
ReplyDeleteI have a book for you to really get what these dirtbags are up to. Read Naomi Klein's "The Shock Doctrine".