Monday, May 12, 2008

Will Childers race affect Musgrove's ambitions?

Here is a little bit more from Washington Post columnist George F. Will. He does bring up an interesting topic- if Childers wins tomorrow, how will this affect Musgrove's race- also in November.

If Childers wins on Tuesday, Davis will have another crack at him in November, when the top of the Democratic ticket, whoever it is, might be a heavy weight in Childers's saddle. But Davis had better win now because Mississippians in this district know how to split their tickets. For a House record 53 years from November 1941 to January 1995, while the South was changing from solidly Democratic to solidly Republican, Mississippi's 1st District was represented by Democrat Jamie Whitten.

In 1928, when some Southern Democrats balked at voting for their party's presidential nominee, Al Smith, a Catholic, incensed party loyalists popularized the saying, "I'd vote for a yellow dog if he ran on the Democratic ticket." There are few white "yellow dog" Democrats left in the South, but many unshakable Democrats: 36 percent of Mississippians are African American, the highest percentage of any state. Mississippi has the largest number of African American elected officials, including 47 of 174 state legislators. If Obama becomes the Democratic nominee, stimulating African American turnout, Musgrove's Senate candidacy could benefit, leading the national Democratic Party to open its wallet for him.

So a Childers win on Tuesday would be a scary harbinger, and not only for House Republicans. Senate Republicans might have an unanticipated worry in an unlikely state.

2 comments:

  1. Somewhat noteworthy- Musgrove was campaigning with Childers this morning at the Batesville Piggly Wiggly.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Man if we can win tomorrow and roll this momentum to November...

    ReplyDelete